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Hollywood Gold Cup Odds and Analysis

by Bodog Racebook | Jul 4 2011

Hollywood Park’s signature race for its spring-summer meet is the $500,000 Gr. 1 Hollywood Gold Cup, held this year on Saturday, July 9. Twirling Candy, Acclamation and First Dude are all expected for the 1 ¼ mile race for 3-year-olds and up.

Trained by John Sadler, Twirling Candy will be sent off as the favorite for the Hollywood Gold Cup. A 4-year-old son of Candy Ride, Twirling Candy has enjoyed a solid year so far, with two wins from three starts. He will face some of the rivals he defeated in his last outing, in the $150,000 Gr. 2 Californian Stakes on June 4, also at Hollywood Park, a race he won by 1 ¼ lengths. His previous race marks the only blemish on his 2011 record thus far, a fifth-place disappointment in the $750,000 Gr. 1 Santa Anita Handicap on March 5. Though his best races have been at 1 1/8 miles or less, Twirling Candy has been training well, registering a 7-furlong workout at Hollywood Park in 1:25.20 on July 2. Overall, Twirling Candy has a 7-0-0 record from nine starts and has earned $684,900.

A son of Unusual Heat, Acclamation has won his last four starts at Hollywood Park – but on the track’s grass oval. The Donald Warren trainee defended his titles in both the $150,000 Gr. 2 Jim Murray Handicap on May 14 and the $250,000 Gr. 1 Charles Whittingham Memorial Handicap on June 11. His most recent loss was on dirt, a disappointing 10th in the $1M Charles Town Classic Stakes at Charles Town on April 16. The 6-year-old posted a 7-furlong work at Hollywood Park on June 28 that was timed in 1:25.20. With a career record of 25-6-2-6 but a 4-2-0-0 record in 2011, Acclamation seems to be improving with age. He has earned $758,048 to date.

First Dude has had the best races of his career in 2011, including his first graded stakes victory (by a nose) in the $300,000 Gr. 3 Alysheba Stakes at Churchill Downs May 6. That victory followed an allowance race win at Santa Anita Park on April 9. A son of Stephen Got Even, First Dude has limited experience on synthetic tracks but he has been training well on that surface: a 6-furlong work at Hollywood Park was timed in 1:12.60 on June 26, fourth best of 22 workouts at that distance. The 4-year-old, trained by Bob Baffert, has earned $1,142,140 from 16 career starts and is 3-5-4.

Others expected for the Hollywood Gold Cup are Soul Candy, Setsuko, Jeranimo, Game On Dude, Dark Cove and Aggie Engineer; 2010 winner Awesome Gem remains possible. Champion 3-year-old filly Blind Luck has also been nominated but is more likely for the $750,000 Delaware Handicap on July 16.

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Looking for our Archive `of Expert Racing Analysis by Steve Davidowitz and Dave Tuley? Click here to find their reviews of the 2010 Breeders' Cup Contenders.  Stay tuned for their analysis of the 2011 Breeders' Cup - coming soon!

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